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At close · Thu, Jul 16, 2026
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HomeUS MarketsSectorsIran war highlights how hard market timing is

Iran war highlights how hard market timing is

MarketWatch argues that the idea of timing the stock market remains difficult, pointing to the Iran war as an example that runs counter to the notion that events automatically create predictable opportunities for active investors.

The outlet says active stock pickers typically do not outperform the broad market, describing a pattern where manager selection cannot overcome what it frames as basic market math.

MarketWatch’s core takeaway is that, even when major geopolitical developments move markets, consistently beating a broad benchmark is not the outcome active strategies are built to deliver.

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