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Hedge funds price the policy risk ahead of the midterms
With a Democratic takeover of Congress threatening to reshape policy priorities, hedge fund managers are looking beyond the election outcome to assess mispriced risks and opportunities across AI, credit and fixed income. Elections often play a peripheral role for markets. Barring shock results, markets price in potential outcomes months in advance while fiscal assumptions about the post-election landscape are already set. For hedge funds, the upcoming midterm elections are no different: Democrats currently have a 91% chance of controlling the House and a 64% chance of controlling the Senate, a