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Home›US Markets›Options›Traders price an 88% chance of a near-term S&P 500 plu…

Traders price an 88% chance of a near-term S&P 500 plunge

Thursday, July 16, 2026 · Written up by our desk · Options

Yahoo Finance reports that options traders are pricing in a very high likelihood of a sharp near-term pullback in the S&P 500, with an indicated 88% chance of a plunge.

The figure is based on market-implied expectations from S&P 500 options activity, reflecting how traders are positioning for downside moves rather than trading a fixed view of direction.

Latest closeS&P 500 7,572.40 ▲0.4%

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Sources

Yahoo FinanceTraders Bet There's An 88% Chance The S&P 500 Will Plunge Soon

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