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At close · Tue, Aug 11, 2026
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Prediction firms face insider trading flags amid limited enforcement

Experts say the regulator lacks staffing, legal tools, and will to broadly pursue insider trading cases.

The New York Times reports that prediction firms are drawing increased scrutiny for potential insider trading, with some analysts warning that many cases may not lead to charges.

According to the report, experts say the agency that polices the industry faces constraints including limited staffing, limited legal tools, and insufficient willingness to mount broad crackdowns on trading they view as easily manipulated.

The piece frames the enforcement outlook as a structural problem for regulators, suggesting that scrutiny may rise even if prosecutions do not keep pace.

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