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Mark Carney briefly favored for 2026 Nobel Peace Prize on Kalshi
Kalshi put Carney’s odds at 14.0% before they later declined, highlighting the speculative nature of the prediction market.
A prediction market run by Kalshi briefly listed Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as the favorite for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with traders assigning his chances at 14.0% before his odds later fell, according to the SCMP Economy.
The article said there is no public evidence Carney is on the Nobel Committee’s secret shortlist, which is expected to be announced October 9 in Oslo, Norway.
It also linked the buzz around Carney’s profile to his stated message that middle powers should work together to defend sovereignty as great powers increasingly use economic and military leverage, an argument that has gained attention in 2026.