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China targets higher grain output by 2030 under new blueprint
Beijing aims to lift grain production to 725.0 million tonnes per year by 2030, alongside efforts to diversify imports and build larger strategic reserves.
China has unveiled a grain industry development blueprint through 2030 that seeks to strengthen domestic food security while reducing exposure to overseas supply disruptions, a move analysts say could reshape global trade flows. The plan is framed under the country’s 15th Five-Year Plan and emphasizes higher production, more diversified import sourcing, and larger strategic reserves, according to World Grain.
The blueprint sets a specific production target of 725 million tonnes of grain per year by 2030, up from 714.9 million tonnes in 2025. To reach that level, Chinese authorities plan to prioritize advanced seed technologies, farm modernization, greater mechanization, and upgrades to irrigation and agricultural infrastructure, World Grain reported.
On the import side, the strategy calls for keeping foreign dependence within what it describes as a controllable range, while taking steps to limit geopolitical and disruption risks, including those tied to events such as a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. World Grain said Beijing intends to diversify procurement networks and reduce reliance on any single supplier or region, building on recent efforts to broaden purchasing beyond traditional partners.
World Grain also highlighted a broader shift among net grain importers toward more resilient supply chains. Arnaud Petit, executive director of the International Grains Council, said importers are moving from a just-in-time approach toward a just-in-case strategy, which can involve greater sourcing diversification and longer transit routes.