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EUR/USD rises as softer US inflation data cools Fed hike bets
EUR/USD is trading below 1.1550 within a two-week range as traders weigh a weaker US inflation outlook against expectations for one more ECB rate hike.
EUR/USD is gaining some follow-through buying in the Asian session on Friday, building on a modest rebound from around the 1.1500 level, an area the pair had not been able to hold since its earlier over-one-week low. Still, spot prices are staying confined in a two-week range and are trading below 1.1550, with mixed signals keeping momentum limited.
FXStreet links the USD softness to inflation data, noting that the US Producer Price Index report released Thursday came in below estimates and reinforced what it described as softer US CPI. That backdrop gives the Federal Reserve room to keep interest rates steady, which has kept the US dollar depressed.
On the other side, the euro is supported by growing acceptance that the European Central Bank will deliver one final 25 basis point rate hike at its September meeting, with inflation still seen above the ECB’s 2% target. Geopolitical uncertainty, including reports of drone activity and escalating risks tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, is also cited as a factor that could limit losses for the safe-haven dollar.
The story also points to war-risk pricing linked to the US-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz and renewed attacks in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb. FXStreet adds that, technically, EUR/USD has a modest near-term bullish bias above the 200-period EMA on the 4-hour chart, while a break above the range ceiling near 1.1565 is needed for further gains.
Latest closeEUR/USD 1.153 ▼0.1%