S&P 5007,765.36▼0.5% Nasdaq27,193.34▼1.2% Dow51,231.64▲0.1% Russell 2K2,794.13▲0.0% 10-Yr5.23%−5bp VIX15.41+0.33 WTI$91.10▲3.2% Gold$4,157.80▲0.4% EUR/USD1.122▼0.3% BTC$81,723▼2.3% Nikkei70,036▼0.9%
At close · Thu, Oct 8, 2026
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Home›Crypto›Market Structure›Bitcoin holds above $78,000 as Polymarket leans to a S…

Bitcoin holds above $78,000 as Polymarket leans to a Sept hike

Polymarket has priced a quarter-point Fed increase for Sept. 15-16 at 55.5%, and total crypto market value is down 2.6% over 24 hours to $2.65 trillion.

Prediction market traders are leaning toward a Federal Reserve rate increase for the Sept. 15-16 meeting while bitcoin holds above $78,000 after Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole comments, according to The Defiant.

Bitcoin was last quoted at $78,317, down 0.65% over 24 hours, after trading between $77,162 and $79,347, with ether at $2,464, down 0.61% on the day.

Despite bitcoin’s relative steadiness, market breadth was weaker, with 88 of the 125 largest non-stablecoin tokens down on the day and total crypto market value falling faster than bitcoin, down 2.6% over 24 hours to $2.65 trillion.

Polymarket priced a quarter-point increase at 55.5% and a hold at 43.5%, with the event market volume rising from $56.2 million on Friday, after Warsh said recent inflation readings had not convinced him that underlying trends were improving.

Latest closeBitcoin $81,723.06 ▼2.3%

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