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NZD/JPY slides over 1% after RBNZ hike as oil shock hits carry
The drop comes alongside a Middle East-driven oil spike and moves in Asian equities, which reduced risk appetite and drove investors to unwind yen funding trades.
NZD/JPY fell more than 1% on Wednesday even after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a second consecutive 25 basis point rate hike to 2.75%, according to Action Forex.
The outlet pointed to several overlapping drivers behind the move, including an Iran-driven oil shock that weakened risk appetite and carry demand, more hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of Japan that supported the yen, and Japan rate divergence effects after the RBNZ provided a gradual guidance tone that disappointed expectations for a faster hiking path.
Action Forex also linked the selloff to deteriorating risk conditions in Asia, citing the Nikkei down around 2.5% and the KOSPI down almost 4%, while Brent crude rose to around $97 amid renewed concerns about the Strait of Hormuz and the risk of further US-Iran retaliation.
The brief notes that the yen is being supported by policy expectations, with markets already close to pricing a BoJ hike for the September 17 to 18 meeting, while US pressure discussed in a separate report added urgency to the yen narrative.
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