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Atlantic hurricane season stays quiet with no hurricanes so far

So far this year, the Atlantic has produced five short-lived tropical storms and an accumulated cyclone energy level that is the lowest since 1941, with a 97% chance activity will be below average in the next two weeks.

Reported · Written up by our desk · Property Insurance

September is typically the month when Atlantic hurricanes threaten coastal communities, but the basin has been unusually calm, the most docile since 1941, according to Insurance Journal.

The article attributes the lull to dry air, a stable atmosphere, and wind shear that is disrupting storm development. Colorado State University forecast lead author Phil Klotzbach said the models are also weak on storm building over the next 10 days, and his two-week outlook shows a 97% chance hurricane and tropical storm activity will be well below average.

So far in 2026, the Atlantic has recorded five short-lived tropical storms and no hurricanes, a pattern expected to persist at least through the typically busiest period around Sept. 10, when a named storm is almost always present or growing from thunderstorms.

Insurance Journal also notes that the season’s accumulated cyclone energy, a measure based on storm longevity and strength, is the lowest since 1941. The outlet adds that the quiet conditions are beneficial for people along the US East and Gulf coasts and for fewer disruptions to Gulf of Mexico oil and gas export terminals, while any eventual hurricane would still face a challenge from the current shear conditions tied to El Niño.

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