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TD Securities expects Brent to stay elevated on persistent oil tightness
The bank says the oil market is unlikely to normalize before December 2026, and it sees a strong chance of triple digit Brent prices driven by global deficits and low inventories.
TD Securities maintains a bullish stance on oil, pointing to persistent tightness and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions as key reasons Brent is expected to remain elevated, according to FXStreet. The firm does not expect market normalization before December 2026.
In the next three months, TD Securities projects Brent trading well above current levels, with a strong chance of triple digit prices. Its view is supported by what it describes as continued global crude deficits and low product inventories.
FXStreet also notes that in currency and rates markets, GBP/USD fluctuated near 1.3550 and EUR/USD approached the 1.1600 area, while the US dollar showed limited direction. The outlet ties broader cross-asset moves to uncertainty in the geopolitical backdrop and shifting expectations for future Fed rate hikes.
Separately, FXStreet reports that US Treasury yields rose across the curve, with the 30-year Treasury yield reaching 5.33% as of Monday, its highest level since 2007, alongside concerns about the US fiscal deficit and doubts about Federal Reserve independence.
Latest closeWTI crude $82.40 ▲1.4%|Brent $88.59 ▲1.8%|EUR/USD 1.157 ▲0.4%