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Gold slips below $4,650 as firmer US dollar eyes PCE data
Gold is trading lower as expectations shift toward a Fed policy hold at the September 15 to 16 FOMC meeting, while Treasury bond buybacks are pushing down US yields.
Gold prices were held to modest losses, staying below $4,650 as the US dollar regained positive traction ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures, or PCE, Price Index, according to FXStreet.
The outlet said the gold outlook hinges on the path for US interest rates, with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday expected to add rate-setting clues. FXStreet also pointed to market expectations cooling toward a policy hold at the September 15 to 16 FOMC meeting, in part amid slowing price pressures and a sluggish labor market.
FXStreet added that the US Treasury’s buyback strategy is contributing to lower bond yields, including a plan to use nearly $1 trillion from its General Account to fund increased buybacks of longer-term bonds. It also cited developments tied to the Middle East, where hopes for shipping and diplomatic progress around the Strait of Hormuz have eased crude oil concerns, which can weigh on inflation worries and cap potential USD support.
Technically, FXStreet noted that a prior move through the $4,500 level, tied to the 200-day simple moving average and a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the March to June decline, has not yet produced sustained upside, with price struggling to gain acceptance above the 50% retracement level. The outlet said stronger follow-through selling would be needed to confirm a near-term top for XAU/USD.
Latest closeGold $4,432.00 ▲1.6%|WTI crude $82.40 ▲1.4%