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At close · Thu, Sep 3, 2026
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HomeCryptoMarket StructureBitcoin volatility stays subdued as in-profit supply n…

Bitcoin volatility stays subdued as in-profit supply nears bear-to-bull level

More than 71% of bitcoin supply is in profit, approaching a 74.7% historical mean that has marked prior bear-to-bull transitions, according to Bitfinex analysts.

Bitcoin’s volatility has remained historically low, with analysts citing long-term holder supply as the dominant driver, according to The Block.

The article notes that more than 71% of bitcoin supply is now in profit, nearing a 74.7% historical mean level that has typically aligned with transitions from bear to bull markets, as described by Bitfinex analysts.

Glassnode’s analysis, as summarized by The Block, found long-term holder supply explains more of the variation in bitcoin one-month realized volatility than market cap, open interest, funding rates, or broader trading activity.

The Block reports bitcoin was trading near $78,000 after briefly topping $82,000 last week, and Bitfinex analysts said conditions for a sustained advance have not yet been met, pointing instead to continued consolidation with an upside bias.

Latest closeBitcoin $78,261.43 ▼1.1%

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