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At close · Fri, Jul 24, 2026
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Hong Kong home sales rebound lifts expectations for developers’ earnings

Analysts at Bank of America Global Research forecast average core net profit growth of 8.0 percent year on year in the sector for the first half, excluding New World Development.

Hong Kong property developers are expected to post stronger first-half earnings in the coming weeks, as a rebound in home sales and improving development margins give investors signals on whether the sector’s recovery will last, according to SCMP Economy.

Bank of America Global Research expects Hong Kong developers and conglomerates to deliver average core net profit growth of 8.0 percent year on year for the first half, excluding New World Development, citing drivers that include a rebound in depository participant margins, an early rental earnings improvement, and a foreign exchange tailwind from the yuan’s 6.0 percent year-on-year appreciation.

Citi Research estimated that new-home registrations rose 34.0 percent year on year to about 12,500 units, the highest first-half total since 2004, while secondary home volume climbed 43.0 percent year on year to a five-year high.

The stronger sales helped lift home prices by about 11.0 percent this year, supporting developers’ margins and cash flow, according to Citi Research.

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