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At close · Tue, Aug 11, 2026
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HomeForexMajor PairsUS 10-year yields ease as CPI expectations temper Fed…

US 10-year yields ease as CPI expectations temper Fed bets

The US Dollar Index steadied near 99.8 as markets priced a 65% chance the Fed holds rates at its September meeting.

US Treasury yields eased on Tuesday as investors stayed cautious ahead of upcoming inflation data and the outlook for the US-Iran situation, which has faced obstacles, according to FXStreet.

The move came alongside strength in crude, with West Texas Intermediate rising for a second straight day to a seven-day high of $84.61.

In rates markets, the US 10-year benchmark note slipped one basis point to 4.69%. July CPI is expected to fall slightly to 3.4% year over year, with core CPI forecast at 2.5%, while the Producer Price Index is also projected to soften on August 13.

FXStreet also pointed to payroll-related updates, including an ADP Employment Change four-week average of 8.25K jobs and a downward revision to the prior week. Prime Terminal data showed markets assigning a 65% probability to the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September and a 35% probability of a 26-basis-point hike, while the US Dollar Index held steady at 99.81.

Latest closeWTI crude $83.42 ▲1.6%|Dollar index 99.81 ▲0.0%

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